Li Auto’s Unexpected 4.5% Earnings Miss: Growth Stalls as EV Competition Intensifies

3 mins read
August 28, 2025

Li Auto, one of China’s leading electric vehicle manufacturers, has reported disappointing financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenue falling 4.5% year-on-year to RMB 30.2 billion. This Li Auto earnings miss caught investors off guard, triggering a 5% pre-market drop in its U.S.-listed shares and adding to a 28% decline in its Hong Kong-listed stock since mid-July. The underperformance highlights growing pressures in China’s hyper-competitive EV market, where new models and aggressive pricing are reshaping the landscape.

Financial Performance: Breaking Down the Numbers

Li Auto’s second-quarter results fell short of analyst expectations, which had projected revenue of RMB 318.2 billion. Here’s a detailed look at the key figures:– Total revenue: RMB 30.2 billion (USD 4.2 billion), down 4.5% year-on-year– Vehicle sales revenue: RMB 28.9 billion (USD 4.0 billion), down 4.7% year-on-year– Net profit: RMB 1.1 billion (USD 153.1 million), down 0.4% year-on-year– Vehicle deliveries: 111,074 units, up just 2.3% year-on-year

Behind the Revenue Decline

The decline in revenue despite a slight increase in deliveries suggests a decrease in average selling price. This was largely driven by the higher sales proportion of Li L6, the company’s more affordable model. While total deliveries grew marginally, the product mix shift toward lower-priced vehicles contributed to the Li Auto earnings miss.

Cost Control and Margins

Despite the revenue challenges, Li Auto demonstrated impressive cost management. Operating expenses decreased by 8.2% year-on-year to RMB 5.2 billion, while gross margin improved from 19.5% to 20.1%. The company’s operating margin also expanded from 1.5% to 2.7%, showing that efficient operations helped mitigate some of the revenue pressure.

Market Reaction and Stock Performance

The market response to Li Auto’s earnings miss was swift and severe. The company’s U.S.-listed shares fell 5% in pre-market trading following the announcement, while its Hong Kong-listed shares (LI-W) had already declined 28% from July 18 to August 28. The steepest drop came on July 29, when shares fell 12.8% after the launch of the company’s first all-electric six-seater SUV, the Li i8.

Comparative Performance

While Li Auto struggled, competitors showed stronger performance. NIO’s Hong Kong-listed shares (NIO-W) rose 55% during the same period, narrowing the market capitalization gap between the two companies. XPeng’s market capitalization also closed in on Li Auto, with only a HKD 20 billion difference separating the two automakers.

Product Challenges: The i8 Launch and Consumer Response

The launch of Li Auto’s first all-electric SUV, the i8, has been particularly challenging. Market reception was cooler than expected, with consumers criticizing the vehicle as “overpriced and under-equipped.” Just days after its debut, Li Auto was forced to make significant configuration changes, adding standard features like refrigerators and entertainment screens while fixing the price at RMB 339,800.

Competitive Pressure in Electric Segment

The Li i8 faces intense competition in the electric SUV market. Direct competitors include NIO’s乐道L90 and the newly priced ES8 at approximately RMB 410,000. AITO’s M8 electric variant received over 10,000 orders within 24 hours of launch, creating additional pressure on Li Auto’s electric offering.

Growing Competitive Threats Across Product Lines

Li Auto faces challenges not only in its new electric vehicle segment but also in its established extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) business, which includes models L6, L7, L8, and L9.

EREV Competition Intensifies

In the extended-range segment, Li Auto’s products face mounting competition from AITO’s M8 and M9 models under the Harmony Intelligent Driving alliance. The L6 model specifically competes with ZHIJIE’s R7, while the upcoming redesigned AITO M7 is already predicted by industry insiders to be “the next blockbuster.”

The Price War Escalates

On August 15, IM Motors launched the new LS6 Super Range Extension edition, offering 450 km of pure electric range starting at just RMB 209,900. This aggressive pricing demonstrates how competitive the market has become, putting additional pressure on Li Auto’s pricing strategy and market position.

Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades

The Li Auto earnings miss prompted a swift response from financial institutions. On August 27, Macquarie downgraded Li Auto from “neutral” to “underperform,” slashing its target price from HK$110 to HK$82 for Hong Kong-listed shares and from $28 to $21 for U.S.-listed ADRs.

Changing Market Perception

This downgrade reflects growing concern among international investment banks about Li Auto’s competitive position and ability to succeed in the pure electric vehicle market. As one of the first among China’s EV startups to achieve profitability, Li Auto now faces the challenge of maintaining that status amid increasing competition.

Leadership Response and Public Engagement

Founder and CEO Li Xiang has been unusually active in public engagements recently, which in retrospect appears to have been in response to growing business pressures. He personally opened a short-video account, participated in an interview with prominent tech personality Luo Yonghao, and hosted dinner events with truck drivers—all activities suggesting efforts to maintain brand visibility and consumer connection during challenging times.

Strategic Implications and Future Outlook

The Li Auto earnings miss represents more than just a quarterly disappointment—it signals a critical inflection point for the company. Having established itself as a leader in extended-range electric vehicles, Li Auto must now prove it can compete in the pure electric segment while defending its core business against increasingly aggressive competitors.

The Path Forward

Success in the pure electric vehicle market is no longer optional for Li Auto—it’s essential for long-term survival. The company’s ability to address consumer concerns about the i8, compete effectively on price and features, and maintain its reputation for quality will determine whether it can reverse the current trend and regain investor confidence. The coming quarters will be critical for demonstrating whether Li Auto can adapt to market changes and sustain its position among China’s leading EV manufacturers. The company’s recent challenges highlight the intense competition in China’s EV market and the rapid pace of change that requires constant innovation and adaptation. Investors and industry observers will be watching closely to see if Li Auto can address its current shortcomings and regain its momentum in both the extended-range and pure electric vehicle segments.

Changpeng Wan

Changpeng Wan

Born in Chengdu’s misty mountains to surveyor parents, Changpeng Wan’s fascination with patterns in nature and systems thinking shaped his path. After excelling in financial engineering at Tsinghua University, he managed $200M in Shanghai’s high-frequency trading scene before resigning at 38, disillusioned by exploitative practices.

A 2018 pilgrimage to Bhutan redefined him: studying Vajrayana Buddhism at Tiger’s Nest Monastery, he linked principles of non-attachment and interdependence to Phoenix Algorithms, his ethical fintech firm, where AI like DharmaBot flags harmful trades.

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